House Price Appreciation Slows Further

Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO)
November 30, 2006
Stefanie Mullin

HOUSE PRICE APPRECIATION SLOWS FURTHER

OFHEO House Price Index Shows Declines in Five States, Continued
Deceleration in Others

WASHINGTON, D.C. – U.S. home prices rose in the third quarter of this year, but the rate of increase continued to slow and some areas experienced actual price declines. Nationally, home prices were 7.73 percent higher in the third quarter of 2006 than they were one year earlier. Appreciation for the most recent quarter was 0.86 percent, or an annualized rate of 3.45 percent. This reflects a further slowdown from that reported for the second quarter when the quarterly appreciation rate was 1.3 percent and the annualized rate was 5.1 percent. The quarterly increase is the lowest since the second quarter of 1998. The figures were released today by OFHEO as part of the House Price Index (HPI), a quarterly report analyzing housing price appreciation trends.

“Our newest data confirm last quarter’s data that the housing market is in a decidedly different stage,” said OFHEO Director James B. Lockhart. “With U.S. house prices growing less than one percent during the third quarter, it provides more evidence that the longforecasted national deceleration in house prices is occurring. Given the five-year appreciation prior to this quarter of 56.8 percent, the slowdown is not unexpected. There are still some areas where appreciation rates remain very high but now they are the exception rather than the norm,” Lockhart said.

Since the spring of 2004, year-over-year house price appreciation has fallen from a peak of 13.9 percent to 7.7 percent this quarter. Despite the deceleration, house prices grew faster over the past year than did prices of non-housing goods and services reflected in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI prices rose 3.1 percent.

There is an 82 page PDF report at :
OFHEO Full Report